Aaron Nesmith Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2026

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Aaron Nesmith

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Nesmith

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 25, 2026

Updated Mar 25, 2026 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-127/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pacers have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games in regard to 3-point shots.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 11.7 field goal attempts per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.7 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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