Aaron Nesmith Points - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2026

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Aaron Nesmith

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Nesmith

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 18, 2026

Updated Mar 18, 2026 11:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-124/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Nesmith has posted 19.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's posted over the course of the year.
As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pacers.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have shot 51.5% on field goal attempts (highest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, resulting in a good matchup.
The 6th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Trail Blazers).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

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