Aaron Nesmith Points - Player Prop Bet 2/19/2026

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Aaron Nesmith

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Nesmith

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 19, 2026

Updated Feb 19, 2026 11:49 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-118/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 10th-most aggressive team in the NBA while playing away from home over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pacers.
The Pacers are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Wizards).
The matchup vs. the Washington Wizards is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.2 foul shots per game this year (8th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Washington is a difficult one; when the Wizards are at home, they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (10.9).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 6.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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