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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 2/19/2026

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-118/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 10th-most aggressive team in the NBA while playing away from home over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
  • The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pacers.
  • The Pacers are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Wizards).
  • The matchup vs. the Washington Wizards is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.2 foul shots per game this year (8th-most in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. Washington is a difficult one; when the Wizards are at home, they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs this year (10.9).
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 6.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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