Aaron Nesmith Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2026

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Aaron Nesmith

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Nesmith

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 10, 2026

Updated Feb 11, 2026 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pacers have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have averaged 33.3% on field goals (lowest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The Pacers will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Knicks).
The Indiana Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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