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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2026

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pacers have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have averaged 33.3% on field goals (lowest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, labeling this as a tough matchup.
  • The Pacers will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Knicks).
  • The Indiana Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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