Aaron Nesmith Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2026

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Aaron Nesmith

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Nesmith

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 8, 2026

Updated Feb 8, 2026 7:48 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 15.6 shot attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Raptors, making this a positive matchup.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.

Favors Under

The Raptors have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.
The Pacers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Raptors, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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