Aaron Nesmith Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2026

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Aaron Nesmith

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Nesmith

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets · Feb 2, 2026

Updated Feb 2, 2026 11:58 PM EST

Analysis

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6).
The Rockets have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Pacers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the league while on their home court with a mere 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Houston may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are on the road (4th-least in the league).

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