Aaron Nesmith Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2026

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Aaron Nesmith

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Nesmith

G-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 17, 2026

Updated Jan 18, 2026 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 13.6 shot attempts per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Pistons, branding this as a strong matchup.
The 7th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pacers.
The Pacers are expected to see an increase in plays today from competing against the 8th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pistons).

Favors Under

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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