My Account Log Out
 
 
Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2026

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-113/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The matchup against the Magic is a favorable one for shots from the field; opposing starting SGs have averaged the most FG attempts per game in the league this year (14.8).
  • The Pacers have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Pacers rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Magic may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 5.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games (most in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Indiana Pacers have been the lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year.
  • The Indiana Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from competing against the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™