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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 11/13/2025

Phoenix Suns vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-103/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has notched 21.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's notched over the course of the season.
  • The Pacers have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
  • The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When it comes to shooting, the Indiana Pacers's lackluster 106.9 points per game measures as the lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
  • This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 1.5 3-pointers per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Suns, creating a difficult matchup.
  • The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a decline in plays today from competing against the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).

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