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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 11/9/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pacers have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Pacers check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Warriors is a challenging one for shots from the field; opposing starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (38.4%).
  • The Warriors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Indiana Pacers.

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