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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have compiled 20.4 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, making this a favorable matchup for offensive production.
  • The 2nd-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 2nd-best in in the league with 14.5 offensive boards per game this year.
  • Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 5.0 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Pacers rank as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
  • The Pacers will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the 9th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

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