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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 11/3/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-132/+109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pacers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA at home since the start of last season.
  • The matchup against Milwaukee is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Bucks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have shot for the 5th-highest three rate in the league this year (43.5%).
  • The 6th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
  • This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Bucks, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.2 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

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