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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 10/25/2025

Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In regard to offense, the Pacers's exceptional 116.8 points per game ranks 7th-most in the NBA since the start of last season.
  • This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have scored 15.8 points per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, labeling this as a good matchup for offensive performance.
  • The 10th-quickest pace offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Pacers.
  • The Pacers will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the quickest tempo offense in the league since the start of last season (the Memphis Grizzlies).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
  • Over the last 12 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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