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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 6/19/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.

In regard to shooting, the Pacers's terrific 114.3 points per game places 5th-most in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The 8th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Pacers.

The Thunder have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA this year, which should boost possessions for the Pacers.

In contrast to last year's 81.5% rate, Aaron Nesmith's foul-shot performance has spiked this year to 90.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The matchup against the Thunder is a difficult one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 2nd-lowest three percentage in the league this year (25.5%).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 7.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

The matchup against Oklahoma may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting team (2nd-least in the league).

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