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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 6/8/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made 3.1 threes per game over the last 15 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's sunk in all games this year while playing away from home.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 6.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.

The Pacers have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games as the visting team.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which ought to raise plays for the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 3.9 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.

The matchup against the Thunder is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have shot for the 2nd-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (25.5%).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 7.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Aaron Nesmith will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player performance in all stat categories.

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