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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 5/31/2025

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-245/+180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -240 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -245.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 2.7 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.

The Pacers check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 48.0% on three-pointers (best in the NBA) against the Knicks, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

The Pacers have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games as the home team.

In contrast to last year's 81.5% mark, Aaron Nesmith's foul-shot prowess has surged this year to 90.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 3.9 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Pacers will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from competing against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo visiting team in the NBA this year (the Knicks).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 1stworst in in the league with only 7.0 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

The matchup against New York may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Knicks are the visiting squad (7th-least in the league).

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