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Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Aaron Nesmith has made 3.2 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.With respect to scoring, the Pacers's stellar 119.8 points per game rates strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have shot 48.0% on 3-pointers (highest in the league) against the New York Knicks, marking this as a positive matchup.The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games playing at home.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.The Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Pacers.The Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.
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