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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 5/23/2025

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-121/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 4.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.7 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year when playing on the road.

Aaron Nesmith has played 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's played in all games this season.

With respect to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's stellar 124.1 points per game while on the road places highest in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 6th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home.

Relative to last year's 81.5% mark, Aaron Nesmith's foul-shot efficiency has jumped this year to 90.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's committed over the course of the season.

The matchup against New York is a tough one for shots from the field; when the New York Knicks are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the lowest field goal rate in the NBA this year (33.3%).

The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Pacers.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (9th-lowest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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