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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 5/13/2025

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season on the road.

The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games as the road team.

The Pacers have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team.

The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA in their home city this year, which should increase opportunities for the Pacers.

Relative to last year's 81.5% rate, Aaron Nesmith's free-throw prowess has increased this year to 91.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for overall this season.

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 3.9 three attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Cavaliers, branding this as a difficult matchup.

The Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player production for all stats.

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