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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 5/11/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year.

The Pacers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

The Pacers have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games as the home team.

The Pacers will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-quickest pace team in the league this year (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

Compared to last season's 81.5% clip, Aaron Nesmith's free-throw efficiency has risen this season to 91.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's committed in all games this season.

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.9).

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

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