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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 5/9/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-111/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 4.5 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year at home.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from facing the 10th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 3.9 3-point attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, branding this as a tough matchup.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 1stworst in in the league with just 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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