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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 5/6/2025

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's made from three over the course of the year away from his home court.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.

In terms of scoring, the Pacers's stellar 123.8 points per game away from their home court rates best in the league over the last 10 games.

The Pacers have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games as the away team.

In comparison to last season's 81.5% clip, Aaron Nesmith's free-throw prowess has risen this season to 90.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's tallied in all games this year.

The matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers is a tough one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.9).

The Cavaliers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Pacers.

The Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith should suffer a drop-off in productivity across the board due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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