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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 4/25/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-122/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 2.7 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season without the home court advantage.

Aaron Nesmith has played 27.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 4.3 more than he's played in all games this season on the road.

Relative to last year's 3.5 mark, Aaron Nesmith's personal fouls per game have been reduced this year to 2.5.

The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.

Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have totaled 19.8 points per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Bucks, identifying this as a good matchup for offensive productivity.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will likely suffer a reduction in productivity for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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