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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 4/13/2025

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 54.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 11.3% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Aaron Nesmith has played 28.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 4.5 more than he's played over the course of the year on the road.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied a measly 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, significantly less than his 3.5 fouls per game last year.

The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road.

The Pacers have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games while on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 12.1 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Cavaliers, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.4 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, struggling to get to the foul line.

Aaron Nesmith will likely experience a decrease in performance for all stats due to playing away from home in this contest.

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