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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 4/8/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 53.1% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 10.2% higher than he's converted overall this year.

In terms of offense, the Indiana Pacers's remarkable 122.1 points per game settles in as the 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 15 games.

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled 15.7 points per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Washington Wizards, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive production.

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith has sunk a terrific 90.1% of his free throws this season, significantly more than his 81.5 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 91st percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year.

The Pacers are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Washington Wizards).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league when playing at home with just 7.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

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