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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Utah Jazz

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 15.6 points per game over the last 10 games, 3.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.

Aaron Nesmith has made 51.8% of his treys over the last 10 games, 10.8% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.

As it relates to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's impressive 122.1 points per game measures as the 3rd-best in the league over the last 10 games.

The matchup vs. the Jazz is a positive one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (93rd percentile).

The Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Jazz, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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