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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 18.0 points per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 7.2 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road.

Aaron Nesmith has converted 55.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 13.5% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 7.4 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road.

Aaron Nesmith has been called for a measly 2.6 personal fouls per game this season, quite a bit less than his 3.5 fouls per game last season.

With respect to shooting, the Pacers's impressive 119.2 points per game as the away team places 6th-strongest in the league over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a tough one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting SFs have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (25.5%).

The Pacers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith should suffer a reduction in efficiency across the board considering playing away from home in this contest.

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