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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/27/2025

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 6.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.8 higher than he's put through the net overall this season when playing away from home.

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 3.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 higher than he's made over the course of the season when playing away from home.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's tallied overall this year.

In terms of shooting, the Pacers's outstanding 119.2 points per game while playing on the road settles in as the 6th-strongest in the league over the last 10 games.

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have averaged 50.2% on shots from the field (4th-best in the NBA) against the Wizards, identifying this as a good matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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