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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/24/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 16.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's tallied overall this year.

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 3.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's sunk in all games this season.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.

The Pacers check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league while playing at home this year.

The 6th-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith registers in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.6 fouls per game this year.

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for field goals; opposing starting SFs have put up the 3rd-lowest FG% in the league this year (40.6%).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 7.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

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