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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has logged 17.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's logged in all games this year.

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 3.1 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.

Aaron Nesmith has played 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's played over the course of the year.

In terms of scoring, the Pacers's terrific 118.9 points per game as the home team settles in as the 5th-strongest in the league this year.

This year, opposing starting SFs have logged 19.5 points per game (most in the league) against the Nets, designating this as a strong matchup for offensive performance.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Indiana Pacers.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 1stworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 7.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

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