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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/20/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's converted in all games this year.

Aaron Nesmith has played 32.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 more than he's played in all games this season.

In regard to offense, the Pacers's exceptional 118.8 points per game as the home team comes in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Nets is a good one; they have allowed the most points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (19.5).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (92nd percentile).

The Pacers are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Nets).

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the home team with a mere 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

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