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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 30.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.

Aaron Nesmith has committed a measly 2.5 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 3.5 fouls per game last season.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The matchup against the Bucks is a strong one; they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Aaron Nesmith stands to experience a decrease in efficiency in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this game.

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