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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/10/2025

Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's made from three in all games this season.

Aaron Nesmith has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.6 more than he's played over the course of the season.

In contrast to last year's 3.5 mark, Aaron Nesmith's personal fouls per game have decreased this year to 2.6.

The Pacers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The 10th-quickest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Chicago Bulls is a hard one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (23.9%).

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith is expected to experience a decrease in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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