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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2025

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-121/-113).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made 2.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.

In comparison to last year's 3.5 mark, Aaron Nesmith's personal fouls per game have declined this year to 2.5.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Atlanta Hawks are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have compiled the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (60.1%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 6.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Aaron Nesmith is expected to experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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