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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/6/2025

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 2.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's made in all games this season.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated a lowly 2.5 personal fouls per game this season, significantly less than his 3.5 fouls per game last season.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 13.6 shot attempts per game (9th-most in the league) vs. the Hawks, making this a favorable matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pacers.

The Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will likely see a decline in productivity for all stats in light of being on the road in this game.

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