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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 13.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied overall this season.

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 2.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made in all games this year.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.

In regard to offense, the Pacers's stellar 118.8 points per game with the home court advantage settles in as the 6th-best in the NBA this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith rates in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.5 fouls per game this year.

This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 23.9% on three-pointers (worst in the league) vs. the Bulls, branding this as a challenging matchup.

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while at home with just 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

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