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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 1.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

When it comes to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's remarkable 127.2 points per game while playing at home comes in as the 3rd-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup against Toronto is a good one; when the Toronto Raptors are on the road, they have given up the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (23.9).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to increase opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 91st percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.6 fouls per game this year.

The Indiana Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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