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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 2/11/2025

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has made 36.9% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • With respect to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's exceptional 118.6 points per game at home rates 5th-strongest in the league this year.
  • The matchup vs. New York is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Knicks are on the road, the opposition's starting SFs have compiled the highest three percentage in the league this year (48.0%).
  • The Indiana Pacers have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith rates in the 96th percentile for foul-shot ability with a remarkable 94.1% rate this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith measures in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
  • The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Pacers.
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the league with just 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • The matchup against New York may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the New York Knicks are the visiting squad (7th-least in the NBA).

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