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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 2/3/2025

Utah Jazz vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith lands in the 84th percentile for three-point efficiency when playing on the road with a stellar 41.7% rate this year.
  • The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
  • The 4th-speediest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith lands in the 83rd percentile for foul-shot prowess away from his home court with a stellar 88.9% rate this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (95th percentile).
  • The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Jazz).
  • The Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Aaron Nesmith will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production across the board.

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