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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 2/1/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith ranks in the 88th percentile for three-point efficiency playing at home with a superb 43.3% rate this year.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA on their home court this year.

This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 55.3% on field goal attempts (highest in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, labeling this as a good matchup.

The Pacers have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pacers will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (96th percentile).

The Pacers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Atlanta Hawks may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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