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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2025

San Antonio Spurs vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 66.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 10.1% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Pacers have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Compared to last season's 81.5% rate, Aaron Nesmith's foul-shot proficiency has risen this season to 93.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 94th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.8 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith should suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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