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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 1/18/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-124/+102).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted 49.2% of his field goal attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 41.4% of his attempts from beyond the arc since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.

With respect to shooting, the Indiana Pacers's stellar 117.7 points per game while on their home court ranks 6th-strongest in the league this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Aaron Nesmith will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 99th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 3.3 fouls per game while on his home court since the start of last season.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Pacers.

The Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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