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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 10/27/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-104/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith ranks in the 91st percentile for three-point performance with a stellar 40.2% rate since the start of last season.

The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.

The 4th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith should get a boost in effectiveness across the board considering having the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 100th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 3.5 fouls per game since the start of last season.

This year, opposing starting SFs have tallied 11.3 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, resulting in a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.

In regard to drawing fouls, the Pacers's feeble 20.0 free throws per game places 3rd-worst in the NBA since the start of last season.

The matchup vs. the Philadelphia 76ers is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.5 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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