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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 10/25/2024

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made 1.8 shots from downtown per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league.

The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.

The 4th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league since the start of last season has been the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith places in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 3.5 fouls per game since the start of last season.

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 33.3% on shots from the field (lowest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, branding this as a tough matchup.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a decline in possessions today from squaring off against the most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league since the start of last season (the New York Knicks).

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Knicks may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (9th-least in the NBA).

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