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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 10/23/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith slots into the 90th percentile for three-point ability with an outstanding 40.5% rate since the start of last season.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.

The 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Pistons have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA since the start of last season, which should lead to increased possessions for the Pacers.

The matchup vs. Detroit may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 16 games when the Detroit Pistons have the home court advantage (2nd-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith registers in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 3.5 fouls per game since the start of last season.

Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting SFs have registered 11.1 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Pistons, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.

When it comes to getting to the charity stripe, the Indiana Pacers's subpar 19.9 free throw attempts per game measures as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

Aaron Nesmith will likely experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this game.

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