My Account Log Out

reorder

Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 5/27/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-122/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made 58.6% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 9.9% more than he's sunk overall this year.

Aaron Nesmith has made 40.8% of his three-pointers this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.

When it comes to offense, the Indiana Pacers's stellar 121.8 points per game rates highest in the league this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 6.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Celtics, designating this as a favorable matchup.

Aaron Nesmith will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improve stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The 5th-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Pacers.

The Pacers will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace away offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Celtics).

The Pacers rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™