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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 5/19/2024

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 41.0% rate, Aaron Nesmith's field goal prowess has risen this season to 48.1%.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 28.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 76th percentile.

Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers grade out 8th-best in in the NBA as the visting team with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Aaron Nesmith has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.1% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (100th percentile).

The Pacers rank as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have shot 33.3% on field goals (lowest in the league) vs. the Knicks, marking this as a hard matchup.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 6th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.

The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Pacers.

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