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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 5/14/2024

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has converted an impressive 48.4% of his shot attempts from the field this year, a sizeable increase from his 41.0 mark last year.

In comparison to last year's 32.8% mark, Aaron Nesmith's 3-point efficiency has risen this year to 41.5%.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.4 higher than he's averaged overall this season.

The Pacers check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith lands in the 100th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 3.4 fouls per game this year.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 33.3% on shots from the field (lowest in the league) against the Knicks, making this a challenging matchup.

The 7th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Pacers.

In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Pacers's unimpressive 17.4 foul shots per game places 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.

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