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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 5/8/2024

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 32.8% mark, Aaron Nesmith's 3-point prowess has surged this year to 41.8%.

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season.

The Pacers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 21.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (100th percentile).

The matchup vs. New York is a challenging one for scoring; when the New York Knicks are at home, the other team's starting SFs have compiled the lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (33.3%).

The 9th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pacers.

The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Indiana Pacers.

As a team, the Pacers have been poor at getting to the free-throw line recently: 5th-worst in the NBA over the last 20 games with a lowly 18.0 foul shot attempts per game.

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