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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Points
Player Prop - 5/6/2024

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has made an impressive 48.6% of his shots from the field this season, significantly higher than his 41.0 rate last season.

Aaron Nesmith has converted an impressive 42.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, a sizeable increase from his 32.8 mark last season.

Aaron Nesmith has played 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's played overall this season.

The Pacers have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (100th percentile).

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have shot 33.3% on field goals (weakest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, branding this as a hard matchup.

The 8th-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Pacers.

As a team, the Pacers have been bad at drawing fouls of late: 5th-worst in the league over the last 20 games, drawing a mere 17.9 free throw attempts per game.

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